Green Energy & Renewables: 2021 Valuation Multiples

3 September 2021

Revenue multiples for Green Energy companies grew throughout all of 2020, then stabilised around the 10x mark for Q1 and Q2 of 2021.

reports : Tech, Trends and Valuation

Earlier this year, the IPCC (the UN body for assessing the science of climate change) released yet another report confirming what we already knew: climate change is largely a consequence of our energetic dependence on fossil fuel. For decades, companies have working towards cost-efficient alternatives to produce Green Energy through sustainable, renewable sources.

For a number of years investors, private equity companies and pension funds have been setting up funds reserved for so called ESG companies (Environment, Social and Governance). ESGs are companies that are committed to sustainable practices from an environmental and social point of view.

As the term is used quite loosely, different funds have different definitions of what a sustainable company looks like. Some, for example, only support enterprises that are committed to net-zero targets. For this report, we chose a fund that invests exclusively in Green Energy producers.

The Global X Renewable Energy Producers ETF (RNRG), managed by Mirae Asset Financial Group, “seeks to invest in companies that produce energy from renewable sources including wind, solar, hydroelectric, geothermal, and biofuels.”

The 25 companies in the fund are all listed on public stock exchanges, and so their financial metrics may differ from younger start-ups introducing innovative technologies, typically considered a high-risk-high-reward investment. However, analysing their revenue and EBITDA multiples allows us to establish a benchmark that can be useful to infer the valuation of a private company.

Green Energy Valuation Multiples

Revenue multiples for Green Energy companies grew throughout all of 2020, almost doubling from 6.7x in Q1 to 12.7x in Q4 when they reached a peak. They then stabilised around the 10x mark for Q1 and Q2 of 2021.

This is comparable to what are considered some of the hottest sectors in tech, such as FinTech and SaaS, which also achieved double-digit revenue multiple over the past years.

Source: YCharts

The distribution of the multiples across the sample is pretty regular, which the top 25% of performers moving further up from the end of 2020 to Q2 of 2021.

Source: YCharts In the chart above, the lines indicate the range of EV/Revenue multiples in our cohorts, while the boxes highlight the Interquartile Range (IQR), which is where the median 50% of the cohort ranks based on their valuation multiple.

In terms of EBITDA valuation multiples, we see a relatively similar trend: although multiples didn’t grow as steadily as the revenue ones throughout last year, they peaked in Q4 2020 at 18.2x and recorded a median EBITDA multiple of 16.8x for Q2 2021.

Source: YCharts

On the distribution chart for EBITDA multiples, it’s even more apparent how the top 25% performers in the cohort managed to achieve multiples that are over twice as high as the top performer at the beginning of 2020.

Companies with a high degree of differentiation—which use multiple renewable sources to produce Green Energy—such as Canadian producer Innergex, or Renova Inc. in Japan, were able to achieve the highest multiples, consistently being valued over 30x or 40x their EBITDA.

Source: YCharts In the chart above, the lines indicate the range of EV/EBITDA multiples in our cohorts, while the boxes highlight the Interquartile Range (IQR), which is where the median 50% of the cohort ranks based on their valuation multiple.